The way ahead for buses and trains

Thursday 25th July 2024

Here’s what King Charles III read out in his speech to both Houses of Parliament last Wednesday: “A Bill will be introduced to allow local leaders to take control of their local bus services. My ministers will bring forward legislation to improve the railways by reforming rail franchising, establishing Great British Railways and bringing train operators into public ownership.”

Here’s my take on both developments based on a 40 year career in public transport and the eyes of an informed bus and train user travelling full-time around Britain for the last 11 years.

First up, the Better Buses Bill. Here’s what the Government briefing document alongside the King’s speech had to say….

…. pointing out “a modern transport network is vital to kickstarting economic growth. Buses are the lifeblood of our communities, connecting us to opportunities, providing access to services, improving air quality and tackling climate change. However, it is widely accepted that the current system is not working for passengers.”

It’s true the “current system” has had its challenges in some parts of the country, but we must be careful not to throw the proverbial ‘baby out with the bath water’. Aside from Covid, many parts of the country have seen consistent growth in fare paying passenger numbers attracted by quality bus services provided by commercially and community minded bus companies led by locally based passionate, highly experienced bus managers who know how to provide an excellent bus network working hand-in-glove with like minded local authority officers and committed politicians.

Such locations (in England) that come immediately to mind include Brighton & Hove, Portsmouth, Southampton, the Isle of Wight, Bournemouth and Poole, Plymouth, Devon, Cornwall, Reading, Oxford, Cambridge, Leicester, Nottingham, parts of Derby/shire, Warrington, York and a good number more showing signs of welcome improvements thanks to the previous Government’s funding of Bus Service Improvement Plans including Hertfordshire, Norfolk, Oxfordshire, West Midlands, Telford and Wrekin and others.

Secretary of State Louise Haig reckons Transport for London (TfL) delivers “one of the most efficient, affordable and sustainable transport networks in the world” and that it is “living proof” passengers “do not have to put up with a broken bus system.”

Her choice of “efficient” as a descriptor is interesting. It’ll be an eye opener if officials at the DfT showed her TfL’s costs compared with those in the above mentioned provincial cities and towns. Certainly I reckon Chancellor Reeves would find it interesting. The “bus system” is certainly not “broken” in the aforementioned areas.

However there’s no doubt there are examples of lacklustre bus provision in many other locations, including some large conurbations, which don’t deliver “a modern transport network vital to kickstarting economic growth”.

The briefing document goes on to explain…

… but there’s a very real danger the attraction for every community “to take back control of their buses” will blindside them to the main reason why many bus networks are not meeting their travel needs.

And that is the problem of traffic management, or to be more precise, the lack of it.

It matters not one bean who owns the bus company – the community, the local authority, a long standing family owned business, a PLC or a global infrastructure and investment company – if buses aren’t given the priority they need on the road network to run a reliable service despite congestion and motorists regarding any curtailment of a so called “freedom” to drive (and park) anywhere at any time as a “war” while utility companies (and sometimes local authorities’ own highway departments themselves) get away with placing road cones, barriers, temporary traffic lights and other impedimenta for road works without any coordination, overall organisation, or priority for traffic flow ….. then “providing more accountability over bus operators and ensuring standards are raised wherever you live across the country” will be like the proverbial ‘having a wee in the wind’ (to put it politely) than a serious attempt to deal with the root cause of any “broken bus system”.

What we need is a “Better Traffic Management Bill” in which local authorities are given empowerment to “take back control” of managing traffic and priority for buses becomes the key objective. The last Government’s National Bus Strategy said as much (thanks to Andrew Gilligan) but that commitment seems to have quietly been forgotten.

Standards need to be set for ‘Bus Speed Improvement Plans’. Until that happens rearranging the deck chairs of control and accountability of bus companies will not make one jot of difference to the bus turning up on time at the bus stop.

To really sort things out and bearing in mind the Government’s large majority, now must be the time to set up a Royal Commission (or whatever grand sounding body is appropriate) into road user charging. It’s the proverbial ‘elephant on the road’. If not now, then when?

And one other thing: “…giving local leaders more control and flexibility over bus funding …” pointedly states nothing about the level of, and long term certainty of that funding. Both of which are crucial.

The last Government gave a welcome post Covid funding boost with Bus Service Improvement Plans and although I’ve been critical there were ‘have nots’ as well as ‘haves’ in the first funding round, and in some cases in the ‘haves’, too much money has been ‘spaffed up the wall’, Johnson style, on DRT, free travel days and crazy new routes which stand no chance of sustainability once the funding ends, there’ve also been some truly excellent developments which will undoubtedly succeed. And more can be done.

Indeed rather than all this “control” malarky, this new Government with its penchant for “devolved powers” could do well to embrace all those original BSIPs that didn’t receive full or any funding at all in the first round and ensure they (or an updated version) are now delivered. It would be a much more effective use of the next six months or so – revisit what’s already been prepared – rather than go down the rabbit hole of “accountability” and “control” which takes us nowhere, even if it makes for good idealogical sound bites.

Pointedly, there’s also been no mention yet by the new Government of the future of the £2 fare cap in England. If it is to end in December it’ll need proper consideration and sensible phasing.

What “Better Buses” need is certainty of funding and realistic funding (compared to rail and other modes – eg fuel tax rebate as enjoyed by airlines). So let’s have a five year funding commitment for the life of this Government (on rail they call it a ‘Control Period’) and let dedicated local authorities work in partnership with enlightened bus companies to deliver (at least the) minimum levels of services for all communities everyone knows are needed with the oh-so-necessary priority for buses on the roads.

And talking of priority (but on tracks) brings me to the Railways Bill.

It’s been six years and millions and millions and millions and millions of pounds spent on preparing for Great British Railways. Goodness knows what those hundreds of staff who’ve been working for the Great British Railways (GBR) Transition Team have been thinking these last eighteen months knowing the previous Prime Minister had no interest in pursuing Rail Reform at all. At least, at long last, it looks as though this long period of uncertainty is finally coming to an end.

With so much of the rail network already in public ownership (Network Rail, LNER, Southeastern, TransPennine Express, Northern, ScotRail, Transport for Wales) and the rest (other than open-access) micro-managed by the DfT under strait-jacket type management contracts, one would be forgiven for asking what difference will it make for the passenger waiting on Platform 1 at Hassocks station, particularly the first two bullet points below?

Furthermore there’s a sense of “believe it when I see it” with some of the other commitments in the briefing document, not least the “delivery for passengers” pledge: “we will put passengers back at the heart of the railways and introduce new measures to protect their interests. This will include paving the way for a powerful new passenger watchdog, the Passenger Standards Authority, to independently monitor standards and champion improvement in service performance against a range of measures.”

We already have Transport Focus and I’ve given up counting the number of times I’ve heard the “we will put passengers at the heart” mantra. Every Passenger Charter issued by current Train Operating Companies (TOCs) headlines it, but it doesn’t get us anywhere if there’s no driver to drive the train, the track circuit fails, there’s an issue with signals and the train connection isn’t held even by a minute.

There’s a strongly held view in the rail industry the driver shortage is now so endemic and widespread it underpins many of the current unsatisfactory issues, not least the sensitivity of trade union relations and staff ability and willingness to work overtime. The current fragility of weekend travel is unsustainable. So much depends on voluntary overtime it’s become a lottery whether you’ll be able to travel. Take a look at the train service provided by Northern to Blackpool for example. A hugely popular tourist destination especially on summer weekends yet the service is too often decimated by cancellations. It’s now becoming common for “DO NOT TRAVEL” warnings to be in place such is the diabolic service on offer.

Northern is nationalised, in public ownership, running on publicly owned and maintained tracks confirming once again it’s not ownership that’s the point, it’s proper organisation, management and facing up to priorities and admitting the “elephant on the tracks” for rail is driver shortage.

Publicly owned ScotRail is also experiencing severe driver shortage problems

What’s needed is a clear idea of the extent of the driver shortage. No one knows at the moment, because no one dare ask. The real issue is there’s no incentive for those TOCs still in the private sector to spend money on the costly process of recruitment and training of new drivers with their current management contracts destined for the history books as nationalisation looms. This MUST be the number one priority to regain passenger confidence.

The good news is the one person who I have every confidence can get to grips with the situation is now in charge. Minister of State for Transport, The Lord Hendy of Richmond Hill CBE, rightly has a formidable reputation as someone who ‘gets it’ and, more importantly, ‘does it’ during his lifelong passenger transport career. For example, Peter has vast experience dealing with the severe driver shortage that blighted London’s buses in past decades. He knows what to do. And he’ll do it.

And then we come to the fourth bullet point: “simpler tickets”. It’s a scratched record, it’s been played so many times. We’ve had countless consultations. Transport Focus has been involved. The Rail Delivery Group has pontificated. LNER launched a pilot which led to public outrage giving a good indication of just how difficult it is to please all the fare paying passengers all of the time (including this one).

But, here again, Peter has form. Look at TfL’s pricing structure and compare it to the old days of London Transport’s buses and Underground with their complex fare charts. While it’s not nearly so easy sorting out a national structure with its labyrinthine set of terms and conditions and so many vested interests, I’ll bet we finally see some progress now Peter’s in charge, albiet he’s a Minister and it’ll be the GBR team who actually do the work.

And there’s no doubt in my mind the way to start is to build a bonfire of all those TOC only priced tickets between major destinations (eg Gatwick Airport and London Terminals; York and Newcastle; London and Birmingham). Granted this may mean some price increases but if done imaginatively at the time of an annual price increase with simplification as a high profile objective, it can work. It’s how passengers in Brighton became pleased to have a 25% fare increase from 80p to £1 back in 2000 because they understood the concept of a simple flat fare structure (and those paying £1.30 loved the 30p decrease even more). They responded in record numbers having the confidence they knew and understood the fare.

One other point; “simpler tickets” and “open access has a proven track record in driving competition” do come across as strange bedfellows, but perhaps I’m missing something there, not least with the recent mini explosion in applications for more open access operations.

Then there’s the thorny subject of HS2. We can’t possibly end up with a useless Acton to Aston high speed railway that’ll be of no use to anyone. And as the National Audit Office reported on Tuesday, unless action is taken, there’ll be less seats than now between Euston and Manchester come the Sunak Slimmed Down HS2 opening.

Luckily respected railwayman Chris Gibb has come up with a sensible compromise utilising Pendolinos as well as the new HS2 fleet which has been well chronicled in the rail trade press so I won’t go into detail here.

But let’s have a commitment it’ll be implemented. And now.

Courtesy RAIL magazine

And finally, forget any more rail re-openings after the ‘low hanging fruit’ of Okehampton, Levenmouth and, (coming this Autumn), Ashington. The costs involved in schemes such as Portishead simply cannot be justified. They’d fund an alternative gold plated, high frequency bus network operating with free travel for a generation … which brings us back to …. the Better Buses Bill.

Roger French

Blogging timetable: 06:00 TThS with Summer Su extras.

Comments on today’s blog are welcome but please keep them relevant to the blog topic, avoid personal insults and add your name (or an identifier). Thank you.

81 thoughts on “The way ahead for buses and trains

  1. Please let us not rely on Transport Focus (TF) to protect the customer interest. Like other similar “watchdog” bodies (Ofwat, Ofcom), TF seems to see its role as barking loudly, then running away and hiding behind the sofa. They provide the illusion of protection but their main purpose seems to be to fill the space that an effective body might otherwise seek to fill.

    The classic TF self-congratulatory story tells of a rail operator behaving badly, a brave intervention by TF, and a noble agreement by the operator to put things right this time. No mention of any systematic change to avoid other passengers being treated similarly badly in future. And no mention of any sanction or other adverse outcome for the operator to encourage them to modify the values and priorities that caused the harm. Just a smug self-satisfied TF telling everyone how plucky they have been.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. This is the kind of article that needs much wider circulation as it is authored by someone who knows what he is talking about(unlike politicians) having had 40+ years experience, and continues to use the system on a frequent basis and able to see its problems. I cannot disagree with anything.

    I would also add one further area where that will impede progress, and that’s the skills shortage.

    Roger highlights train drivers, and I wonder wether the unions have a straightjacket on the training regime to protect their bargaining power? Why is a position that pays £60,000 per annum short of people, when guards , or whatever they are called these days, are paid half of that for similarly unsocial hours.

    Skills shortages also show up in traffic and utility management , why are we continually remodelling roads, presumably because the designers got it wrong first time? And ditto utility companies, is everything being done cheaply so it saves money in the short term. Everyone will have noticed that roadworks seem to go on forever these days with no sense of urgency.

    As he rightly says ownership is irrelevant, it’s already been proved with TPE and Northern where state control replacing a TOC has only made the reliability situation even worse.

    Lord Hendy is an inspired choice as Rail Minister but like all ministers he will soon find out

    how little power ministers have. He has to sort the current pay dispute, get reliability back to acceptable levels, transfer all of the remaining TOC’s to public control and deliver the £2 billion of savings the Dft thinks are achievable.

    I think I have seen a Labour slogan’ move fast and fix things’, I fear with transport it will be replaced with ‘ move too fast and break things’.

    Like

    1. | I wonder wether the unions have a straightjacket on the training regime
      | to protect their bargaining power?

      No, they don’t. The unions have zero say over what training regime the companies introduce.
      The companies choose to do the bare minimum of recruitment and training they can get away with, and from experience they do stupid things like transferring work from depot A to depot B without first training staff at depot B, meaning depot A ends up covering the work plus travelling time and it takes twice as many drivers as before. Oh, and depot B loses drivers to training which means they can’t cover their own workload!

      If you go back to the preparations for privatisation ASLEF (RMT is basically irrelevant to drivers) proposed keeping both a national training infrastructure and national pay bargaining.
      The government of the day insisted that BR refuse, training infrastructure was binned exacerbating the existing driver shortage and that’s why we ended up with driver salaries shooting up as market forces came into play when companies starting poaching drivers off each other.

      ASLEF did get into a tie-in with Virgin to set up a driver training school, Millennium Drivers, but unfortunately the general Virgin ethos of the day that everything-BR-was-wrong quickly came to the fore and Millennium got a very bad reputation for poorly trained candidates so it didn’t last long.

      [Continued….]

      Liked by 1 person

      1. [Answering the second question. This is a long reply so I’ve have to split it to get it to post!]

        | Why is a position that pays £60,000 per annum short of people

        There are a whole host of reasons, starting with the weird and wonderful requirements companies have when recruiting into any role nowadays; I suspect far too many viable candidates fall or give up at the first hurdle because it’s just not worth the hassle.

        Medical requirements for train driving are onerous and fail far more people than they pass.

        Then you start looking at the job itself.

        Shift patterns are bad (not as bad as the bus industry, to be fair, but let’s not compare apples with oranges) which mean that a lot of people simply won’t consider them – you’d be amazed how many drop out when they realise that, yes, trains on Saturdays (let alone Sundays!) need crews. And yes, you’ll be working anti-social hours, you don’t get bank holidays, you get allocated your holidays each year (yes, you can swap with other staff, but…), the standard shift pattern is a week of “earlies” followed by a week of “lates”, although “earlies” just means starting before midday and “lates” just means you don’t start early morning (I’ve known “late” duties starting at 0730), and the weekly switchover means you can finish at 0300 Sunday morning after a shite Saturday evening shift and be back at 0300 Monday morning with your sleep pattern totally screwed.

        Driving itself is boring. You have a throttle lever and a brake lever (sometimes combined) and that’s pretty much it. Other than that you have little to do beyond monitoring the outside world and being expected to respond instantly something happens despite being bored stupid. What you don’t have are the constant inputs you have when driving on the roads: you’re not steering, you’re not constantly monitoring other road users, and so on.

        Whilst being bored stiff, there’s always the knowledge in the back of your mind that you have the responsibility for potentially hundreds of lives; it takes a certain personality to be able to compartmentalise that and not be distracted by it.

        You’re given a long training course where you get taught loads of stuff – I felt like I could strip an engine down lineside if needed at the end of my training – but you’re not allowed to use any of it. A TOC I used to work for had signs in the cabs saying “In the event of train failure do not carry out fault finding. Contact control for advice” – even checking to see if a circuit breaker had tripped was banned! It’s demoralising.

        Welfare facilities are poor; the railway considers a room with 20 seats for up to a hundred staff, a single kettle for everyone, a single microwave and “access to a toilet” to be reasonable break facility even if it’s in a yard in the middle of nowhere or half-a-mile from the station you arrived at – and you’ll be given the bare minimum time to get there and back, which means inward delays will result in outward delays. Delays are demoralising too, especially as you’ll rarely know why there was a delay.

        Timetabling is poor and getting worse. The last company I worked for brought in a brand new timetable created by external consultants which deleted allowances based on decades of local adjustments and also ignored all infrastructure requirements such as time allowed for level crossing operation at stations – if it takes over a minute for the barriers to activate, lower and the signal to clear then it’s useless scheduling the train to have a 30-second stop. Who was it who got phone calls after every trip demanding to know why the trains lost time? Yep, the drivers. The guards had it worse: they were getting phone calls during the trip taking them away from their other duties such as customer service. Strangely the company refused to accept that the timetable was simply wrong.

        [Continued…]

        Liked by 2 people

        1. [Reply 2 continued]

          Everything a driver does on the train is monitored and you will be criticised for details you have no way of knowing.
          Example: train speedos are graduated in 5mph increments and are allegedly accurate to within 2 mph, so you get a 2 mph allowance (at any speed – no 10%+3mph here!). The data recorders record the speed in decimals of mph. If you’re recorded running at 77.1 mph over a 75 mph speed limit for a mile or so, that’s a meeting-without-tea-or-biscuits and a threat of disciplinary action, despite the fact that all you can tell is the needle is just over 75 – and on many trains it’ll be flickering too.

          The old railway used have an instruction in the Working Timetable that, in the event of late running, drivers were to use the full capabilities of their train in order to make up time, which meant using full throttle and full brake. Do that today and you will get booked for having “aggressive driving” or “having lost control” of your train.

          Attitudes to safety are utterly confused. Example: if a driver has a mobile phone on flight mode in their bag where they can’t see or hear it, that’s a distraction and a disciplinary offence – bit if someone is standing behind the driving cab having a screaming argument on their phone and thumping the cab wall, that’s not a distraction at all and the driver should just deal with it.

          Oh, and you can sometimes be forgiven for thinking that the railway hates drivers.
          Example: if a driver makes a mistake and passes a red signal, that’s a Signal Passed at Danger. That’s fair, no complaints.
          However, if there’s a technical fault or a signaller incorrectly changes a signal to red in front of you and you blast past it at 100 mph, that’s a Signal Passed at Red.
          The railway industry believes that it’s only dangerous to pass a red signal if it’s the driver’s fault, regardless of what has happened to cause that signal to go back to red.

          Another example: there’s an ongoing campaign by the railway to fit monitoring CCTV in cabs. That’s not forward facing cameras or even cameras overlooking the cab as a whole; it’s cameras specifically intended to monitor driver’s faces to see if at any time in the up-to-five-hours they’re in the driving seat without a break that driver’s attention moves away from the windscreen – even checking the speedo would trigger it. Why?

          How about headlights? The industry always claims that headlights are not for drivers to see with, only for people working trackside to identify an oncoming train. So, those bright lights you see on the front of trains? They’re utterly useless for seeing anything with – but they do blind oncoming drivers.
          Remember “Don’t dazzle, dip your headlights?” from the TV in the 1970s? Doesn’t apply to the railway. At night, between burningly-bright LED signals and equally horrendous headlights, you’re driving in an almost permanently dazzled state.
          But if anything goes wrong, well, it’s your fault for not keeping a proper lookout. The RSSB did lab tests 20+ years ago which “proved” train drivers weren’t being dazzled, so drivers who complain are just lying.

          And then there’s dealing with the passengers, which as far as the companies are concerned is not part of the drivers’ role – but the passengers don’t get given the memo.
          People don’t realise that the driver has access to far less information than anyone sat in the train, they expect drivers to magically answer questions and unfortunately some get very, very stroppy when we can’t.
          It’s not at all unusual for a driver not to know all the stops a train will make; if they’re only working part of the trip, they only get the stops for the section they drive. They may not even be told where the train terminates!
          If a driver gets off a train at a terminus, if they’re not working it back out it’s unlikely they’ll have any idea what the train is doing next because they don’t get told.
          And so on. Passengers, unsurprisingly, don’t know about things like that and assume that we’re just being awkward when we say “I’m sorry, I don’t know”.
          Again, it’s demoralising.

          We haven’t even looked at other safety risks. In my career I’ve had suicides, I’ve had fatal accidents because people thought a train was something they could race, I’ve had fires, I’ve had medical emergencies, I’ve had more near misses with people than I can shake a stick at, I’ve killed umpteen wild animals (a pigeon exploding on your windscreen at 100 mph is utterly gross).
          About the only thing you can be certain of as a train driver is that these things will happen at some time – and they always occur in the most awkward place possible. You get great support after a fatality – but you get disciplined if you’re off too long after any other incident even if it’s triggered issues from past incidents.
          Some people can’t cope with the idea of that sort of stuff, but it doesn’t become real until they’re actually out driving trains and the first incident happens. I know of an incident where a driver had to be lifted out of the seat and carried out of the cab after hitting sheep because they’d physically frozen and couldn’t stand up.

          Oh, and it’s a dead end job. There are no real promotion opportunities for drivers. You’re in that cab until you retire, so if it’s not perfect for you…

          Train driving is a great long-term option if it’s a job you can settle into and can teach yourself to ignore all the many little things which are demoralising.
          If not, and a lot of people can’t, then it’s absolutely not a good option – but the high salary means that a lot of drivers want out but are trapped by that salary; they can’t get jobs which would allow them to move on.

          Because of all the above you end up with fatigued, stressed, unhappy individuals (which in itself is a recipe for high sickness levels); add on companies which won’t recruit adequate numbers of staff, so there’s always shortages, and who generally treat those staff as both juvenile delinquents and rabid imbeciles at the same time, and you also end up with an industry that is struggling to both recruit and retain active, committed staff.

          There’s a rumour that something like 40% of train drivers nationally are due to retire in the next decade because of unbalanced recruitment. The industry’s in trouble.

          [End!]

          Liked by 2 people

  3. It’s ironic that you mention Brighton & Hove as being a place where teams work together. There are serious bus priority issues in Brighton where the council won’t listen and change the roads for the worse. Look at churchill square with a built out crossing in the middle of the bus stops hindering efficient movement and space. Look at Valley Gardens 3 that paves over most of the bus lanes and makes things worse for passengers. Look at London Road where the pavement was widened during covid and now fail to remove it which when buses are stopped block the road causing horrendous congestion and delays. Brighton and Hove City Council are not doing their part.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. Agree very much with what you’ve written, and I’d thrown in a few more:

    • – Regular evening and Sunday buses. I’m ok in central London, but outside big cities they hardly exist. I often look at the town where I was born and lived in when I was younger – Hitchin. There’s been a few improvements to some daytime services recently, but many routes cease at 6pm and have no Sunday service. How are people meant to switch from car to bus, if there are no buses?
    • – Agree with the bonfire of operator specific train tickets. A traveller from Manchester Piccadilly to Manchester Airport doesn’t care who operates their train, they just want to get from A to B. Too much choice in this situation is a bad thing – simplification is long overdue.
    • – Open Access operators are a good thing, but let’s learn some lessons from airlines when it comes to ticketing. Currently, if I am travelling from London to Edinburgh I could go to the LNER website and inadvertently purchase a Lumo ticket. Similarly I could go to the Lumo website and end up on an LNER train. Get rid of this nonsense. If I want to fly EasyJet on that route I’d go to the EasyJet website – and I know I’d be sold a flight on EasyJet only. The open access operators bring good innovations but for ticketing purposes I think they should be completely separated from the (former) franchised operators. Thats’s how Ryanair and EasyJet operate, and they’re doing pretty well.

    -Trainline. Regardless of what those of us in the know, and railway staff may think, the typical rail user will perceive Trainline to be the official national ticker seller. They’re good at marketing, and they’ve a good simple app. But they’re not perfect. I don’t think GB Railway should attempt to develop their own ticket selling portal – instead it should tighten up specifications for private sector operators such as Trainline. In particular: (1) no fees charged to customers (2) greater transparency when split tickets are sold, regarding ticket validity – though ideally fare simplification should get rid of the need for split tickets; and (3) greater clarification of railcard validity, including alerting passengers when railcards are expiring.

    just a few random thoughts for now. I hope, Roger, that our transport Ministers all subscribe to read your blog regularly.

    Al Holmes

    Like

    1. If there’s no demand for Sunday and Evening services then why would they run? Why would a business run a route at a serious loss? Routes like that would more likely require a tender via the local council to provide coverage of fuel, the drivers wages, the buses etc, however many councils are strapped for cash and can’t afford to pay for them. Even if it was owned by the community those routes will still be operating at a loss at no ones gain except a handful of passengers.

      Like

      1. While there are undoubtedly many routes where evening and Sunday demand would be too low (especially those where the daytime use is primarily by concessionary pass holders and schoolchildren) there are too many parts of the country where even core commercial urban routes do not have adequate evening and Sunday provision.

        Unfortunately within certain operators there is still a lot of outdated and defeatist thinking. “Nobody will be going anywhere at that time of night”. “The local authority ought to be paying for services at that time.” “There won’t be any passengers when the shops are closed.”

        One only needs to look at the good operators in the areas Roger mentions, and the sort of passenger numbers that they carry at all hours on their fully comprehensive timetables, to see what a nonsense that attitude is.

        Liked by 2 people

        1. A lot of those successful towns and cities are University locations. Lots of students without cars determined to enjoy their nights as well as days and lots of good locations in town catering for them. They just don’t compare to small and medium towns where there is little to travel for and when people do go out, a taxi is just an expected expense along with the meal, bar or club price.

          Like

      2. | If there’s no demand for Sunday and Evening services then
        | why would they run?

        There’s perhaps a difference between “no demand” and “no commercial demand”, the latter being which is where we are at the moment.

        If bus services are going to have to be funded by the taxpayer then I’d say you run the ‘out of hours’ journeys for the network benefit.

        In the old days that was what cross-subsidy was for, before it became a dirty word in the 1980s.

        We run trains all over the country – and have minor roads all over the country – which are not themselves economically viable, but they’re retained for their network benefit.

        Why not do the same with buses?

        Liked by 2 people

  5. Well the enhanced partnerships and BSIP have in general failed to deliver any real improvement in services. I am sure we can find the odd exception but they are rare. It is unclear what will happen as well when the BSIP funding runs out. A lot of BSIP funding as well is being used to prop up the non viable DRT services

    The reality is that without some general subsidies bus service cannot really be improved

    Like

  6. Insightful comments as usual Roger! I agree with quite a bit of it, particularly the lack of focus on bus priority, driver shortages on both bus and rail, ticketing, and ownership / control being largely irrelevant to operational failings.

    I have to take issue with your mention of Southampton being an exemplar of good bus service – I absolutely agree with you in the context of the key routes, covering most of the city itself which are now excellent and very cheap, but I have witnessed the sad decline (through ‘deaths of a thousand cuts’) of many inter-urban and suburban services, particularly those serving the vast newer housing areas of Hedge End, most of Chandlers Ford, and Locks Heath, suburban services to Upper Shirley and Harefield, and rural services linking Southampton with the New Forest and Bishop’s Waltham areas, all of which have strong potential if only the bus operators of the past would have held their nerve.

    I think the key with greater control is minimum coverage and frequency standards, probably allowing cross-subsidy again, both between routes and within routes at different times of day (whether that is done commercially or with local authority funding), ensuring that all areas have evening and Sunday service*, doing away with the ‘postcode lottery’ of the haves and have nots with bus provision. This can be done regardless of ownership.

    And yes, PLEASE PLEASE can the DfT stop ‘spaffing’ millions on ‘many-to-many’ DRT services and divert the funding to traditional timetable rural and urban service, in some cases with ‘many-to-one’  semi-fixed services which have a proven track-record.

    Stephen

    * disagreeing with Anonymous today of 7.22 am, with my point being that the presence of an evening and Sunday service improves confidence in the daytime service (knowing one has a safety net) and even if buses run with very few passengers in the evening initially they can contribute to the overall route (network effects) and grow slowly

    Liked by 1 person

  7. Lord Hendy an inspired appointment as Rail minister, what about Andrew Gilligan for buses ? He was the inspiration behind BSIPs, subsequently neutered in many areas by the inaction of Local Authorities and Bus Operators. Those listening to early meetings with him involved will have noted his detailed knowledge , a real enthusiast for buses.

    Like

    1. Definitely not Andrew Gilligan! He’s believed to have been one of the critics of HS2 inside Government.

      Darryl in Dorset

      Like

        1. In Europe where they have a lot of wide straight road bendi buses can work well. In the UK with our narrow crowded roads and the endless problem of parked cars they do not work

          Like

          1. I was watching this superb film of Buses and trams operating in Zurich and I thought I wonder when someone next uses the wide straight continental boulevards argument!

            Another thought in connection with Roger’s post. The municipal VBZ has been providing an integrated public transport service in a dignified blue and white livery for my entire life. Whereas in the UK we’ve had constant change in ideology, operators, liveries, route branding, completion etc. But even the best UK cities are no match for Zurich.

            Another thing we can learn from Zurich is the use of public transport traffic signals. These give buses and trams priority at junctions, often by making a turning lane for general traffic into a straight ahead lane for buses, enabling them to get ahead of the straight ahead queue.

            Enjoy the film.

            Peter Brown

            Like

  8. I am a child of the deregulated era . . . I started work in 1975 with LCBS, enjoyed deregulation (less so privatisation!), and saw the industry I worked in for 45 years grow and blossom in the 1990s and 2000s.

    We must remember, however, that deregulation was predicated on local councils taking responsibility for socially necessary bus services. For 25 years this worked tolerably well . . . the benefit was that bus operators renewed their fleets to become fully accessible (remember step-entrance buses?), enhanced daytime frequencies (Stagecoach Gold, anyone?). Yes, there were some failures (FirstBus under the Lockhead regime?), but not really so many, and balanced by the GoAhead ethos.

    After the money ran out (from 2010 onwards), those socially-desirable but costly services were steadily withdrawn . . . and in truth, buses on my local route did run almost totally empty after around 7pm, day in-day out . . . until the LTA woke up and pulled them.

    So don’t blame the operators for not running evening bus services commercially now . . . that is the result of the Transport Act 1985.

    Having said all that . . . and having argued against franchisation for years . . . actually, now, bring it on! Let’s see the complete nonsense that local councils make of it . . . listening to all those “interest groups” demanding buses 24/7/365 wherever there is a house or two; trying to manage effective connections between buses and trains when GBR change timetables without giving the bus company at least 10 weeks notice . . . I could go on, but why bother?

    “Society” needs to recognise that the car has won . . . nobody in their right mind will give up their car entirely. What society needs to do is manage car usage . . . improve bus priorities so they actually work; stop building new carparks and charge a proper rate for parking (£2/hour; £4/two hours and so on would be a start); invest in decent Park and Ride services (and no need for fancy waiting rooms and cafes . . . just have a bus always waiting (oh look, it’s a mobile waiting room!!)); enhance daytime frequencies on town services (but only where there is a decent town centre to take people to!) to “turn up and go” (so 6 BPH or better) . . . the shopping list goes on.

    In summary . . . stick and carrot, but belabour the stick a lot more.

    Will it happen? Nah. Will I be holding my breath? Nah.

    Liked by 3 people

    1. | stick and carrot, but belabour the stick a lot more.

      It’ll never happen because (outside London) anything which can in any way be painted as anti-motorist is always decreed as a war on motorists, and introducing anything effective will be political suicide.

      There’s a fantasy in this country that the carrot is always enough and that the mere existence of the stick – not the use of it, just it’s mere existence – is an unacceptable attack on the poor, unoffensive victim who “doesn’t like carrots”.

      With respect to transport I think there’ll come a time that we end up with road pricing and a massive increase in the cost of motoring, but it’ll be imposed on us by the IMF or some other global organisation after our country goes bankrupt; it’ll never be anything our own politicians dare introduce.

      Like

  9. Ensuring timetables are on every station. On holiday last week I ended up using Realtime Trains to find the times of the Brockenhurst /Lymington shuttle, which runs all day, whereas the bus stops at 18.00ish. The bus times were on every stop, although the bus we did use was very late due to traffic. The evening train we did use was on time, although tickets weren’t checked.

    Like

    1. Getting rid of the good value flexible TOC only tickets between London & Birmingham meaning the only flexible ticket remaining will be the any permitted top dollar ticket priced by Avanti will just mean passengers on a budget will switch to using coaches.

      Or for those passengers who want flexibility not to have to book 12 weeks in advance to get a half decent booked train only fare will simply drive. Especially if travelling for leisure where flexibility is a key selling point. Scrap the TOC X only fares for journeys under a certain distance or where they don’t offer at least a 25% saving over the any permitted fares. (Ie those Avanti/TfW only fares which are 10p less than any permitted)

      Like

  10. Absolutely spot on, Roger. The issue of road management & priorities is crucial. I was in Bradford last weekend – what a nightmare! The chaos surrounding the forced closure of the Interchange (with the Combined Authority noticeably quiet on what’s happening) compounded by the work preparing the centre to be ready for Bradford as next years UK City of Culture (?!) makes for an almost impenetrable maze of road and footpath diversions. My arriving bus seemed to loop round in ever-decreasing circles before reaching it’s terminus, and my next departure point involved a circuitous route around metal fencing rather than a straightforward 200 yard stroll.

    These things are killing ridership and killing the city centre too – who would be a retailer in those conditions. And all this from the public bodies. Grrrrr!

    John

    Liked by 1 person

  11. Great British Railways

    It is not really clear what Labours intention is with the railways, Will it be franchising like TfL or gull nationalization

    If full nationalization you have no shareholders so the funding he shareholders provided goes so that money will have to be found from somewhere and my bet is it will be the taxpayers

    A big problem with the railways is the outdated working practices which cause a lot of service cancellation

    Like

  12. Hear! Hear! Agree with every word of that blog, and what an insult to the hard working Managers who have made bus services a thousand times better than the situation that existed fifty years ago in numerous locations.

    It is of course merely political froth as now seen in Manchester with much boasting, and nationally as expected when colours change. Wonder what will be said in five years time when the trains are still late, buses still stuck in traffic and TfL still scheduling routes at about 7mph at twice the cost of anywhere else (at the moment) in the UK?

    Terence Uden

    Liked by 1 person

    1. @Terence Uden – let’s compare with 50 years ago, using published DfT statistics. Figures are for Great Britain as a whole for 1973, 2022/23 – and 2018/19 (to see how things were in the last full year before Covid)

      Passenger usage

      1973 – 7,866 million passenger journeys by bus
      2022/23 – 3,745 million passenger journeys by bus
      (2018/19 – 4,832 million passenger journeys by bus)

      Passenger numbers down by 38% pre-Covid.

      If we exclude Greater London, it gets more stark.

      1973 – 6,428 million passenger journeys by bus
      2022/23 – 1,979 million passenger journeys by bus
      (2018/19 – 2,606 million passenger journeys by bus)

      Passenger numbers down by 59% pre-Covid.

      Miles operated

      Now let’s turn to the service provided, measured by miles operated.

      1973 – 1,529 million miles
      2022/23 – 1,245 million miles
      (2018/19 – 1,444 million miles)

      Only a 5% drop pre-Covid. However, that only tells part of the story. Let’s now exclude Greater London.

      1973 – 1,349 million miles
      2022/23 – 962 million miles
      (2018/19 – 1,148 million miles)

      Mileage down by 15% (pre-Covid). Fewer buses, in other words. Is that really a thousand times better?

      London

      For comparison, here are the stats for Greater London:

      1973 – 1,438 million passenger journeys by bus
      2022/23 – 1,766 million passenger journeys by bus
      (2018/19 – 2,198 million passenger journeys by bus)

      1973 – 180 million miles
      2022/23 – 282 million miles
      (2018/19 – 296 million miles)

      Even after Covid, buses in London are carrying around 20-25% more people than 50 years ago (compared to the rest of Britain, where usage is less than half), while the miles operated have risen by more than half (a combination of more routes, better frequencies and longer hours of operation – which could be viewed as “more buses where people want them, when people want them”).

      Malc M

      Like

      1. London population of 1973 circa 7 million

        London population of 2022 circa 9 million

        Journeys per head falling, just like everywhere else.

        KCC

        Like

        1. @KCC – let’s do the maths.

          1,438million divided by 7 million equals 205.4 journeys per head (1973)

          2,198million divided by 9 million equals 244.2 journeys per head (2018/19)

          That looks like an increase to my eyes.

          You will note I have used the 2018/19 figure, deliberately, to exclude the effects of Covid.

          Malc M

          Like

      2. Whilst your number crunching is impressive, you clearly do not travel too much out of London. Yes, overall numbers are well down, but travel opportunities in numerous locations have been restored and often improved which were lost after the National Bus Company took over in the disastrous ’70s. An example immediately springing to mind was the collapse overnight in April 1971 of the Southdown network when hourly headways in some places vanished. Many parts both restored and improved under de-regulation.

        TU

        Like

        1. @TU – I am surprised to learn from you that I don’t travel out of London. Your comment suggests you don’t know me, let alone my travel habits! But, let’s keep personal comments out of this, and “play the ball, not the man”.

          The stats speak for themselves.

          You may indeed cite examples where the bus service is better now than it was 50 years ago. However, they are more than counterbalanced by examples where the opposite is true.

          Overall, out there in the deregulated world, mileage is down compared to 50 years ago meaning services are fewer overall, while ridership has plummeted. In contrast to this, in the capital which was not subject to deregulation, mileage is up meaning services are more extensive, and ridership is up too.

          Malc M

          Like

          1. The London situation is entirely different to the rest of the UK, which I thought most people realised. The population growth just keeps on growing, while in the rest of the UK population increases are now much more spread, with many towns and cities having fewer living in the central areas. Unfortunately, this means many think a car a necessity whereas in London it is more a liability.

            And I most certainly stand by my original comments that in many Counties, in spite of overall passenger numbers reduced, although hard to believe when looking at routes such as the 12 in Seaford or Pronto in Mansfield, many travel opportunities are far superior than in NBC days.

            Terence Uden

            Like

            1. @Terence Uden – yes, I agree that London is entirely different to the rest of the country. London wasn’t deregulated.

              Population growth isn’t confined to London. Using stats again, this time from http://www.citypopulation.de, comparing 1981 with 2021 (census data), as that is what is available.

              Greater London population: +29%
              West Sussex population: +32%
              East Sussex population: +28%
              Kent population: +27%

              Across England as a whole, population increase has been +21%, generally stronger in the south than in the north. Nevertheless, the population has increased across every county with just three exceptions – Tyne & Wear (-3%), Merseyside (-6%) and Cleveland (barely noticeable at -0.03%).

              You may cherry pick places where travel opportunities are better than in NBC days if you want to. That doesn’t change the stats, which show fewer bus miles being operated overall – so the examples you choose are more than counterbalanced by others where services have been reduced (losing evening and/or Sunday services) or cut altogether.

              As an example, let’s pick Bournemouth <> Southampton. In 1973, an hourly bus service connected Bournemouth and Ringwood with Southampton. Today? Nothing, as far as I can see. Bournemouth to Southampton by bus now takes around 3 hours, changing in either Salisbury or Lymington; Ringwood to Southampton still possible changing buses in Salisbury, taking around 2½ hours (it used to be 45-60 minutes direct). Of course, the train provides a far quicker alternative from to Southampton from Bournemouth, but avoids Ringwood.

              Or how about the Sevenoaks <> Maidstone corridor. In 1973, M&D operated an hourly frequency between those towns, running until around 21:00 seven days week, rising to half-hourly during the afternoons on Mon-Sat. What is the service like between those two towns today?

              Just a couple of examples where services certainly aren’t better than they used to be in NBC days. And, as the stats show, significantly fewer people using the bus across the country as a whole, excluding London.

              Malc M

              Like

            2. My time living in Mansfield coincided almost exactly with NBC operation there. Looking at the couple of timetables that I’ve kept, in 1972 the daytime frequency on the 63 to Nottingham was every 20 mins, though by 1978 it had dropped to every 30 mins. So every 15 mins on what is now Pronto is an improvement. And as a single man living in the town centre it would be well used.

              But, while there, I got married and bought a house on the outskirts, with a good bus service. It’s still good during the day, but the last one now is at 1810 rather than 2300 in 1978. Which would make an evening in Nottingham Pronto+Taxi or, more likely, car throughout. That’s the big problem with current bus networks outside big cities.

              Frankfrog

              Like

  13. Bus service can be improved but politically it will not happen as the actions needed would meet strong opposition

    It would mean changing road usage priorities. At present road priorities are a) Car, b) Cycle c)buses

    Other changes needed would be much more limited car parking on bus routes. Maybe allowing parking on one side of the road only

    It also needs strict enforcement of existing legislation. Currently it is common to find vehicles parked on bus stops or on or near a roads junction

    Like

  14. I agree with one of the earlier comments, this well informed article deserves wider circulation, the Chancellor for one, should be aware of the financial implications of these proposals!

    On the issue of new rail openings, the Portishead line is planned to mainly operate over an existing freight line, with less than a mile of new track required over an existing track bed, which for me puts it in the category of ‘low hanging fruit’. I attended regular meetings on this project before I retired over seven years ago and still a start date is nowhere in sight. It is the planning stage which has so far cost this project millions of pounds and put it into the ‘gold plated’ category! I welcome the government’s pledge to overhaul the planning process and hope that they can speed up this country’s dreadfully slow planning process for transport infrastructure projects.

    One issue not mentioned in this excellent blog is the future of the country’s transport groups: Stagecoach, First, Go ahead, Arriva, etc. Do they have any future role or will they go out of business?

    Liked by 2 people

    1. The current implication for buses is they will move to franchising so the current bus groups would still provide the actual services but would no longer set service levels or fares

      Like

  15. TPE don’t operate to Blackpool, these services were “remapped” to Northern in the 2016 franchise changes.

    Jan B

    Like

  16. The key thing with the GBR is integrate infrastructure with services and coordination of services to stop the stupidity of split control.

    Like

    1. | integrate infrastructure with services

      It’s not going to happen. The excuse will no doubt be that they’re still complying with EU legislation that they “can’t change”, but it wasn’t true in the 1990s and it isn’t true now.

      You need to understand that GBR is just a layer of bureaucracy under the DfT to allow the politicians and the DfT to deny responsibility for anything bad, whilst still (of course) claiming the kudos for anything positive.

      Like

  17. Excellent post from Roger. As usual, hits the nail on the head.

    References to bus barons and the like have been convenient bogeymen (and women) to those with a dogmatic view of ownership – the “We Own This” crowd, as well as assorted metro mayors and the like. Like the arguments against the EU, this Taking Back Control thing is easy to say but when done, simply highlights the complexity of the challenges.

    Take the statement about car parking charges, and increasing them. My local town has free parking (unlike other neighbouring towns) but the council is now intending to introduce charges in order to plug some budget holes. Cue petitions from local businesses etc, and it was cited in various candidates’ general election literature, citing the impact on business especially the disabled and young mothers! I travelled through a neighbouring place, a historic cathedral city and tourist hotspot, this morning. The major roads have some bus lanes, and more are feasible BUT who’s going to tell people that they are no longer able to park outside their house? Or lose the parking permit that they pay for (and deprive the council of that revenue)?

    The pressure on public finances is going to be dire over the next few years. I’m hopeful that some long term funding can be structured to support bus and rail services but not expectant.

    The ownership model ain’t the problem – it’s more fundamental than that. It’s about funding and the difficult decisions in altering people’s behaviour.

    BW2

    Liked by 1 person

  18. If you want to end the “postcode lottery” of public transport provision you have to end the “postcode lottery” of public transport funding first, every local authority would have to get the same (proportionally by population & geographic area) amount of funding ringfenced for public transport. Difficult to calculate due to those issues of demographics & geography to get something fair to everyone and unaffordable if the big conurbations like London & Manchester aren’t suddenly going to be short of money.

    Ownership doesn’t really matter, though personality does (the actual people at the top with the authority to make decisions – see the historic difference between First & Go-Ahead or Ipswich & Blackpool in quality of delivery despite being in similar ownership structures), and the best structure very much depends on available funding. If there is a lot of government cash around to spend then franchising is a logical structure to give the people providing the cash more control over where it goes but at the cost of slightly more inefficiency in the system as a whole (the local authority needs more people to manage the system & contracts but as many private operators are pretty lean already they save very little on that side in return). If you have little money to spend, as has historically been the case for buses, then a privatised & largely deregulated approach gives you more bang for your buck as core networks can be developed with private investment on the assumption of future returns with local government pitching in what money they can when they have it for the socially necessary stuff that won’t be commercial.

    Dwarfer

    Liked by 1 person

    1. @Dwarfer – agree that proper and consistent funding is a key ingredient to decent public transport systems.

      One point to note, though. Unless I am mistaken, London’s public transport system does not receive any government funding (apart from the time-limited Covid bail-outs). A previous Mayor gave that funding away. As BSOG had been rolled up into TfL’s funding from government, London doesn’t even receive any BSOG money. So, far from being short of money, London would stand to benefit if there were a standard formula for public transport funding.

      Malc M

      Like

      1. London got £250m from the Government (Khan wanted £500m). There was a specific clause in the agreement that stipulated (quite rightly) that the funding shouldn’t be used to pay Directors bonuses. That didn’t stop TfL paying these out of the operating surplus generated by the freeze on expenditure (anyone travelled on the Victoria line recently and seen the state of the trains?) Yes London still has relatively low bus fares and a co-ordinated network but with less competition tender prices are rising at astronomical rates. 10% of scheduled mileage also runs out of service for contractual reasons which is wasteful. I don’t think this happens outside London but I could be wrong. Many of us are watching Manchester with interest. Perhaps London could learn a few lessons ?

        Martin W

        Like

        1. @Martin W – fair point, I ought to have been clearer that London doesn’t receive funding for day-to-day operation (including the operation and maintenance of the strategic road network in the capital).

          The £250million you mention was for capital expenditure, not least renewing the Piccadilly Line fleet. It wasn’t for subsidy.

          So, it remains true London’s bus network operates without any government funding at all, unlike other parts of the country where BSOG is provided.

          Malc M

          Like

  19. You need to do a Timpson, Roger, get into those corridors of power! Meanwhile, let’s give the new government some credit for re-admitting “experts” to polite society. And it’s early days so give them a chance. I’m not necessarily a nationalisation fanatic, but the way people hark back to 50 or 60 years ago implying that nationalisation would make everything revert to the status quo ante is not really a valid argument, technology and the concept of customer service has moved on. Finally, the old cliche of “sharing best practice” can apply to public or private ownership.

    Steve T.

    Like

  20. ‘Such locations (in England) that come immediately to mind include Brighton & Hove, Portsmouth, Southampton, the Isle of Wight, Bournemouth and Poole, Plymouth, Devon, Cornwall, Reading, Oxford, Cambridge, Leicester, Nottingham, parts of Derby/shire, Warrington, York and…’ [my emphasis]

    Cambridge? Are you sure about that Roger? Recently, representatives from Camcycle and Cambridgeshire Sustainable Travel Alliance attended/presented at Active City Leicester events. They noted how unfavourably the fragmented and unstable bus ‘network’ in Cambridge/Cambridgeshire compared to the improvements to the bus network in Leicester, under EP agreements.

    Spot on with ‘What we need is a “Better Traffic Management Bill” in which local authorities are given empowerment to “take back control” of managing traffic and priority for buses becomes the key objective.’

    In this it’s helpful if the highway authority and the transport authority are the same unitary body, handling all these issues and being the one body in receipt of DfT/Central Government funding. However…

    Hereabouts, Cambridgeshire County Council is the highway authority; Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Combined Authority is the transport authority; the Greater Cambridge Partnership is the ‘delivery body’ for ‘city deal’ money creating new busways and bus lanes (often with detective bus stop infrastructure), whilst the lower-tier authorities and parish councils, may provide bus shelters (to no standard design) and unitary Peterborough City Council is the highway authority in that city and its hinterland.

    Want to try getting your head around this complexity? Take a look at this Venn diagram and weep.

    PS: “through the proverbial ‘baby out with the bath water”. Throw? [Second par under the Better Buses Bill quote]

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Unfortunately Roger has a tendency to correlate branding and good marketing with good quality services. It’s not always the case.

      Liked by 1 person

      1. Branding and good marketing? In Cambridge?

        This would certainly apply to the largest of the minor operators* – Whippet buses – but not really, otherwise.

        • * I’m being so unfair, in that Whippet are part of a much larger group – Ascendal – with international experience of franchised operations.

        Liked by 1 person

    2. Cambridgeshire staffed millions £ on the Cambridge Autonomous Metro where it tried to invent a new bespoke transport mode to do what a tramway is perfectly capable of doing using tried and tested technology. This was probably because Cambridge is a major science and tech hub and some people got carried away by the hype.

      incidentally, Cambridge was mentioned in a recent Channel 4 documentary about the UK’s dire situation. The city’s science and tech growth is bring throttled due to lack of housing, congested roads, and poor public transport.

      Peter Brown

      Like

  21. Absolutely agree that a key to unlocking buses’ potential is proper bus priority, including penetration of otherwise-pedestrianised parts of town/city centres as well as properly-enforced bus lanes enabling buses to by-pass traffic queues. In fact, I believe the decline in patronage in London during the 2010s closely tracks the decline in bus speeds. Gimmicks such as the New Routemaster or a celebration of “Year of the Bus” do not appear to have halted that; a greater focus on keeping buses moving would have been more likely to retain passengers in my opinion.

    The driver shortage that blighted London’s bus network in the 1990s was addressed, at least in part, by Ken Livingstone as Mayor, introducing a TfL-funded payment of £4 per shift, adding £20 a week onto most driver’s wages. More recently another London Mayor (Sadiq Khan) has been championing the provision (or lack of) toilet facilities for drivers at bus termini. That’s not to try to devalue any or all of the transformation Peter Hendy brought to London’s bus network, but some credit is also due to others including some elected politicians. Peter’s appointment to government is an inspired one and I wish him every success.

    As for the merits (or otherwise) of deregulation, the figures are worth a look. Since 1985/86, the last full year before deregulation, to 2018/19 (the last full year before Covid):

    Great Britain excluding Greater London: passenger numbers down by 42%

    Within that, English Metropolitan areas: passenger numbers down by 56%

    On the other hand, Greater London: passenger numbers up by 91%

    There was a change from the early 2000s to how the figures are compiled, so the comparisons aren’t exact. Nevertheless, the picture is still quite stark.

    Yes, there have been some areas which have bucked the trend. Data from 2009 onwards show Reading, Bristol, Brighton & Hove and Thurrock are examples of growth through the 2010s (masking bigger declines elsewhere). As for Nottingham, for all the efforts of NCT and Trentbarton, ridership has been quite flat, havering at around 48million a year (but maybe the operators’ efforts preventing that from being a story of decline).

    Malc M

    Like

    1. Bus patronage in London certainly rose when Ken Livingstone was Mayor but has steadily declined since 2013/14 resulting in large frequency reductions in inner London. Reduced bus speeds have also contributed to this decline. If you take out bus lanes to replace them with cycle lanes what do you expect ? I think the tide is starting to turn now but it may be too late. London needs someone to champion it’s bus network but the son of a bus driver isn’t the one doing it now

      Martin W

      Like

      1. In Central London the decline is down to much improved rail services and increased congestion on the roads which means the buses cover less milage

        Like

      2. @Martin W – who was championing London’s bus network from 2012, when the passenger numbers started to decline? The current Mayor was first elected four years later, in 2016.

        You might claim that the current Mayor is not championing the bus network, but on whose watch was Superloop introduced? (A previous Mayor did pledge to introduce orbital express buses, but did nothing about it other than double the frequency of the existing X26 to half-hourly)

        Malc M

        Like

    2. Dependent on how far back you go with bus passenger numbers in Nottingham, a lot have not been lost to public transport, but have transferred to the tram. I was more involved at the opening of the first section of the tram and, at that time, bus passenger numbers dropped but bus + tram was higher than previously.

      Frankfrog

      Like

      1. @Frankfrog – fair point.

        I am looking at the published stats from DfT, which go back to 2009/10. Nottingham’s bus ridership in that year was 48.0million. In 2018/19, it was again 48.0million, having fluctuated a little over the intervening years.

        Good point about the tram – 2009/10 ridership was 9.0million, 2018/19 was 18.8million so overall, Nottingham’s public transport (bus + tram) ridership had indeed risen by 17% overall.

        Malc M

        Like

        1. It’s worth noting that Nottingham is one of the few places with a workplace parking levy and it also has an active scheme for bus season ticket purchase through the employer, as well as the early-late timetables of a city with a major university.

          The financial side alters the maths for the regular commuter; if they can get cheaper bus season tickets (deducted from salary before tax, I think) and they have to pay to park at work then public transport becomes much more attractive.

          Down the road in Lincoln there’s also a bus season ticket scheme operated by the city Business Improvement District/Group, but it only covers the city area and anyway buses only really run in the 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. window, so they’re immediately less attractive. And there’s still plenty of free parking for workers as well as a City Council which determinedly markets its car parks as a way of raising revenue.

          Despite also having a growing university, Lincoln’s students mostly live in the immediate vicinity so don’t need transportation, which means that there isn’t that virtuous linking of employment-based commuting and all day student traffic, and in turn that reduces the viability of the local bus network.

          Like

  22. The London versus the Province’s argument is so stale as to be not worth repeating.

    But now we have two alternative exemplars in operation. In Cornwall where £40m was thrown at cheaper fares and lots more tendered services. Where are the results? (Deafening silence) And if it’s not been shouted as a success then it’s presumably a failure. And even after that they are giving the railways a further £50m to tart up two useless branch lines, with the resulting journey time still being slower than the bus service.

    In Manchester the franchised network is nearly complete and it needs to be given a chance. The major bus operators, with the exception of Stagecoach, made a complete mess of Manchester , so give the Bee Network time to prove itself, but the full costs must be transparent

    Like

  23. Thanks for the thought provoking article Roger. It has generated a lot of discussion.

    I appreciate this is an opinion piece but wanted to suggest some thoughts/idea for future articles. Using the bus section of this piece as example, Is it possible at start of the article to state in bullet points what makes a good service and then base your article answering the points and how the current system delivers against this? Readers can also assess the direction you are writing your view points from (e.g. bus industry rather than strictly a social/ecomonic benefits perspective)

    Also where statements are made are you able to include any stats e.g. bus use in the stated successful locations over last 10-15 years. It would be great to see and help aid the points made.

    One last one, sorry, what would be interesting and not completely covered adove, what do bus private companies bring to the party in a deregulated environment to make bus service superior to public control e.g. is it superior marketing, from reading the article the main theme I’m getting is that the main driver of bus use is with the public sector in terms of bus priorities. Therefore if this is the case, why are buses deregulated as bus companies don’t have as much in their toolkit.

    Many thanks and appreciate you taking your time to try to improve bus and train services.

    Like

  24. Many thanks for this Roger, I’m glad someone agrees with me that bus franchising is not a ‘magic solution’ unless the fundamental cause of bus service reliability is addressed, namely traffic congestion and that which is caused by roadworks.

    As you’re probably aware, here in the West Midlands we are facing having a fully franchised bus network within the next three years. The ‘propaganda machines’ that are the local media have been priming us for some time, and since Labour’s Richard Parker became the Metro Mayor in May, have gone into full overdrive.

    For all the talk of “taking back control”, little thought has been given as to what a future franchised bus network will look like here. Parker ‘complains’ about taxpayers money being used to subsidise bus services run by private companies commercially, and makes out that this will come to an end, while at the same time pledging to keep bus fares low and ‘affordable’.

    I’m pretty sure you can’t have one as well as the other – I do wonder if any WMCA board members really have any business experience at all, let alone any experience of running a bus company.

    The local media likes to amplify the often-unjustified complaints about our bus services here being “shoddy, unreliable and expensive”. And a picture is being painted that franchising, bringing buses back under public control, will overnight make bus services reliable and affordable.

    There are no doubt some positive aspects to franchising which I would welcome, but people fail to realise that deregulation passed the commercial risk from the taxpayer to private companies, while franchising potentially reverses this, with taxpayers having to foot the bill if revenues don’t cover the costs of operating the services.

    Stu (West Midlands Bus Users)

    Like

    1. I’m sorry I don’t believe in this commercial risk not on the taxpayer. Look at what happened in 2020, the taxpayer had to step up to save these companies going bankrupt during Covid.

      Big transport companies know as a provider of a public service they wouldn’t be allowed to fail, i.e., if Stagecoach was facing financial extinction the Government would have to step in.

      Liked by 1 person

      1. the only revenue risk Arriva took in High Wycombe was the time it took to close the depot

        Like

    2. Franchising does not automatically mean the commercial risks transfers to the taxpayers. It depends on the contract offered. You can franchise bus services and the operator takes the commercial risk

      Like

      1. | Franchising does not automatically mean the commercial risks
        | transfers to the taxpayers.

        Indeed. In the West Midlands immediately after deregulation Midland Red West won a lot of WMPTE tenders as ‘nil tenders’; they took them on at full commercial risk and cost the taxpayer nothing.

        I think it came as a bit of a shock to WMPTE when MRW didn’t bid for renewal of those tenders a few years later and the PTE had to find the funding for them!

        Like

        1. On the 26th October 1986 across Birmingham & The Black Country suddenly had the return of Midland Red after 13 years in this case MRW winning an extraordinary large number of nil WMPTE tenders creating a clever commercial market using displaced MK1 Leyland Nationals displaced from the new Worcestershire Mini Bus Networks.

          Badgerline Holdings eventually became the owner of the now privitsaed Midland Red West after its initial MBO which subsequently become FirstBus later FirstGroup & different corporate strategic strategy was implemented.from Aberdeen.

          It should also be remembered that when Ian Humphreys took over from Ken Mills the company was loss making hence the withdrawal from nil tenders with WMPTE/Centro.

          Midland Red Wests withdrawal from the Centro Tender Market did lead to the rapid growth in Petes Travel & The Birmingham Coach Company in bidding for tenders issued & of course they became the catalyst for Diamond Bus Limited which now holds a vast number of TfWM contracts.

          Like

    3. The previous Mayo of West Midlands Combined Authority had already instigated a full review of the future shape of the West Midlands Bus Network including potential franchising which was to be presented to the Transport Delivery Committee in July if he had been relected

      An unseemly row has no broken out between the current & previous Mayor in regard to future funding of transport infrastructure projects in the West Midlands instigated by the new holder of the office.

      Like

  25. A lot of salient points, but also some things that aren’t so clear-cut. Franchising could potentially lead to better priority measures, if it’s co-ordinated properly. It may equally not, but it’s not fair to suggest that this should rule it out completely. Private greed has ruined some towns’ bus services and should never have been allowed or encouraged.

    Also, the bonfire of TOC tickets is a definite no from me. Last week I went up to Crewe on the ‘cheap’ train, saving half the price by sacrificing 25 mins on extra journey time but keeping a flexible ticket. Without this option, my journey would have either cost significantly more or been less flexible, i.e. lose-lose. Only the stupid 10p-less ones should be burnt.

    Like

  26. I don’t always agree with you, but here I think you’re spot on in relation to public spending needing to be maintained In order for deregulation to work. The LA investment in socially – necessary services really does need to happen to provide attractive networks.

    Where we also agree, but no doubt for different reasons, is on the principle that franchising should be given a go. It is no accident that both the previous administration and the current one see intervention (the former through BSIPs) as necessary to improve bus networks and it is because MP’s and Cllr’s in-trays are full of public complaints of missing buses, overloaded buses or simply services changing too frequently. Everything is just so short-term these days (the example of Arriva revamping its Aylesbury network then getting out of the town months later rather sums it all up). In many ways the industry has promoted the idea of franchising.

    It’s even difficult to negotiate funding from developers for future housing because you’ve no idea whether the current commercial service is going to be operating in three years time…

    Where I do take issue with the new government is that it appears franchising is the only show in town when I believe it would be far more useful to make it a statutory duty (rather than power) for LAs to subsidise bus routes. After all, why is an LA going to embrace franchising when they don’t even support Sunday services?

    (views are my own not necessarily my employer etc etc).

    Dan Tancock

    Like

  27. This piece was in response to Greenline727’s post but seems to have moved to the foot of the thread!

    Like

  28. I’m not sure lack of bus priority measures is the main thing stopping people using buses. I’ve lived in several fairly well populated areas over the last few years (100-200,000) and I have had to use my car to get to work. This is not because I’m a selfish self-entitled person as you continually imply about anyone who drives anywhere, but because buses in those areas pack up by 1800 so I wouldn’t be able to get home from work without my car (cycling isn’t really an option as most workplaces don’t have shower/changing facilities you can use after arriving sweaty or wet after cycling in particularly in the rain). If people want people to use buses, they need to provide them at times people need to use them.

    Liked by 1 person

  29. Something to consider, if bus deregulation has been so successful how come nowhere else in the developed world copied it?

    Direct on the road competition is wasteful as more resources are used than necessary (over bussing).

    The excess resource could be better used say on orbital routes that would enable cross town journeys avoiding the town centre (the sort of journeys that motorists do)

    Often the completion is short lived leading to a monopoly position (the ultimate capitalist goal). The ephemeral nature of this with resulting network instability deters passengers. People need to base their lives around the certainty or otherwise of transport.

    Constant changes to maintain margins may all be good business (for shareholders) but not so good for passengers or cities’ objectives relating to environment, jobs, culture, healthcare, retail etc.

    Local authorities are responsible for funding non commercial bus routes. This was OK as a policy (but it should have been statutory duty) until Osbourne took away half of their budgets, thus undermining local transport provision leading to more network instability. Austerity also decimated many communities economically thus suppressing demand for travel.

    So, if the future is franchising, LAs must have the lost funding restored. Also new franchised networks must involve complete network redesign to get the best use of resources. Too many networks have just evolved by thousands of changes to maintain margins rather than improving overall service. The network redesigns should reflect local policies regarding planning, climate change, traffic reduction etc in a joined up way.

    Local public transport is fundamental to so many government policies and objectives, it’s too important to be left as a stand alone business which only has to consider its bottom line. Given that Covid destroyed the deregulated business model now is the time for a fundamental rethink.

    Peter Brown

    Liked by 1 person

    1. | Given that Covid destroyed the deregulated business model now is the
      | time for a fundamental rethink.

      This.

      Without meaning any disrespect to Roger, his experience of bus management was before Covid as well as being in a city region where local government was famously supportive and which has an economy totally different to anywhere else in the country.

      The world, the economy, everything has changed for all transport operators since Covid. We’re all trying to find our way through it, and insisting that anything other than maintaining the status quo is bad just because the status quo worked in one special, specific city is, well, not quite cricket.

      Liked by 1 person

  30. Something else that came up on Transport Info . org today that got me thinking about why do employees and employers get tax incentives for company cars when we as a country are supposed to be transitioning away from motoring (if we believe official net zero policies and pronouncements)?

    If we are serious about net zero we should be giving employees and employers tax incentives for public transport monthly passes in our big and or congested cities.

    https://www.euronews.com/green/2024/07/29/belgium-france-austria-the-european-countries-where-employers-must-pay-for-public-transpor

    Peter Brown

    Like

  31. Good riddance to the failure of deregulation which should have been dumped by Labour from 1997 instead of leaving it until now. A colossal failure of British exceptionalism and I’m glad to see contributors here such as Malc M demolishing the preposterous counter arguments with the facts. As a resident of London I know my regulated service is many times better than I can access outside. It makes car free living possible here. The fact is a regulated planned bus service is a prerequisite for a decent public transport service BUT not a guarantee. European style regulation has plenty of variation in quality – look at Milan v Naples – but the best practice European environments have bus service and integrated public transport service many times better than the U.K. outside London. There’s plenty of opportunity for quality benchmarking so let us do it. As for ownership, under a regulated franchised system there is less need to be concerned about it but the big publicly listed companies are not good partners as they only care about shareholder value. A municipally owned tube has in my view done a good job for London. I’d like to see some well managed municipally owned companies come back in the rest of the country.

    Liked by 1 person

Comments are closed.

Blog at WordPress.com.

Up ↑